Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) is a simple model for how to think about a complex problem. It is an analytic process that identifies a complete set of alternative hypotheses, systematically evaluates data that is consistent and inconsistent with each hypothesis, and rejects hypotheses that contain too much inconsistent data. ACH: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses. Analyst tradecraft. Evaluate consistencies and inconsistencies. See an alternative view(s) Produce a more confident hypothesis – one hypothesis will score stronger that the rest (H1, H2, H3) based on available evidence. The analysis of competing hypotheses (ACH) is a methodology for evaluating multiple competing hypotheses for observed data. It was developed by Richards (Dick) J. Heuer, Jr., a 45-year veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency, in the 1970s for use by the Agency. The Applications in the GoExplore Software Suite: Are written in Visual Basic.NET (Managed Code). Run on PC’s with the Windows Operating System (Microsoft Vista or a more recent version of Windows). To run the programs on a Mac you can use a window emulator like ‘Parallels Desktop 15 for Mac’.

1. Analysis Of Competing Hypotheses Software For Machine Learning
2. Analysis Of Competing Hypotheses Software For Mac Os

Need to make a decision based on overwhelming amounts of data and hypotheses? Forget about torturing your brain and pick up a copy of Open Source Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH), a free intelligence software designed to help you make objective and logical decisions by rigorously testing each hypothesis.

The analysis of competing hypotheses (ACH) method can be used to evaluate multiple competing hypotheses when investigating problems. The method mitigates cognitive biases that humans experience. Analysis of Competing Hypotheses 7 Warren Buffett: NetsJets - no. Industry - yes industry interesting. Fabrique nationale browning serial numbers. But in some industries, two competitors can compete with each other and do stupid things. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae - they drove prices for insuring loans down to improper levels. You see it in certain industries. If you take Coke and Pepsi.

Originally developed for the CIA, the software played an integral part in the government agency’s vaunted research methodology. It works in a rather straightforward manner: given a set of data and hypotheses, it checks which of the latter are viable by eliminating those with too many inconsistent components.

According to the official website, ACH differs from conventional intuitive analysis by requiring you to identify a full set of alternative explanations (instead of just one likely conclusion), each of which you will then assess objectively using each available evidence. Because of this, it could prove to be a valuable asset for many types of research situations and dispute resolutions.

Analysis Of Competing Hypotheses Software For Machine Learning

If you’ve ever wanted to put the scientific method to work when deciding what to cook for dinner, where to go on your next vacation and which tie to wear to work, we can’t imagine a better software to assist you. https://buddybrown597.weebly.com/blog/download-mac-book-osx-maverick. The whole process is rigorous, though (you will be testing each hypothesis against each evidence individually), so don’t expect an expert resource who can tell you the answer in a jiffy. Maybe, think of it like an expert resource who likes to ask too many questions before giving you an answer.

ACH is available for download free from the official website, complete with a comprehensive guide, sample projects and other related resources.

[Competing Hypotheses via Red Ferret]

“Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) is a simple model for how to think about a complex problem when the available information is incomplete or ambiguous, as typically happens in intelligence analysis. The software downloadable here takes an analyst through a process for making a well-reasoned, analytical judgment. It is particularly useful for issues that require careful weighing of alternative explanations of what has happened, is happening, or is likely to happen in the future. It helps the analyst overcome, or at least minimize, some of the cognitive limitations that make prescient intelligence analysis so difficult. ACH is grounded in basic insights from cognitive psychology, decision analysis, and the scientific method. It helps analysts protect themselves from avoidable error, and improves their chances of making a correct judgment.”

Analysis Of Competing Hypotheses Software For Mac Os

• Download ACH 2.0.3 from PARC